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维度来看，华泰证券研究团队认为，南向资金自去年8月起大幅增持恒生科技指数相关标的；首轮回调过后，其增持力度进一步加大，形成逆势加仓态势。后续若行情迎来反弹，相关资金或逐步兑现收益，进而抑制反弹行情的持续时间与上行空间。　　从微观维度来看，消费板块盈利实现企稳乃至改善，关键在于行业内卷竞争格局触顶，同时地产、消费高频数据稳步回暖；AI板块估值修复则依赖产业催化落地：AI软件领域需头部企业的大模型及应

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